tonyh29 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 36 minutes ago, bickster said: One of those seats that the Exit Poll has Reform winning is Hartlepool. That Sunderland result doesn’t really point to the exit poll being right in the Hartlepool seat. BBC saying 91% chance that Hartlepool is going Reform if that’s wrong that’s quite a spectacular wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bickster Posted July 4 Moderator Share Posted July 4 Just now, Davkaus said: Labour flat in Sunderland again. These are worrying numbers Not for Labour they aren’t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
villaglint Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 CH4 spent last 1hr 30 talking about Reform when Labour (maybe) won the election by a mile. Media is a crazy thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bannedfromHandV Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Jesus Christ these reform numbers are depressing, on one hand seeing the Tory demise is fantastic but seeing how many of those Tory losses have switched to something as distasteful as reform is really worrying. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarryOnVilla Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Mark Albrighton said: Think I’ll spend the rest of my night writing Alastair Campbell/Nadine Dorries fan fiction. I’m shipping it too Edited July 4 by CarryOnVilla 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davkaus Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Just now, bickster said: Not for Labour they aren’t It should be indicative of a huge amount of work to do to enthuse the public for 2029, because all these people won't stay at home in 2029 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bickster Posted July 4 Moderator Share Posted July 4 Just now, bannedfromHandV said: Jesus Christ these reform numbers are depressing, on one hand seeing the Tory demise is fantastic but seeing how many of those Tory losses have switched to something as distasteful as reform is really worrying. They aren’t much more than was predicted by the pollsters tbh in the two seats so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sidcow Posted July 4 VT Supporter Share Posted July 4 18 minutes ago, CarryOnVilla said: if the far right are getting good turnouts in these areas then the areas have been let down by centre politics for too long. Nigel’s talks their anger about the “establishment” and they feel listened to for the fist time in years. Being heard matters to these people. What? It's like levelling up never happened! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ml1dch Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 2 minutes ago, Davkaus said: Labour flat in Sunderland again. These are worrying numbers Those MRPs that showed the Tories on under a hundred seats had the Labour vote barely moving in those seats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chindie Posted July 4 VT Supporter Share Posted July 4 The Reform numbers are dreadful, whether predicted or not. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fun Factory Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 2 minutes ago, tonyh29 said: BBC saying 91% chance that Hartlepool is going Reform if that’s wrong that’s quite a spectacular wrong That is what the exit poll said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bannedfromHandV Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 1 minute ago, bickster said: They aren’t much more than was predicted by the pollsters tbh in the two seats so far I’m not sure that makes it any less depressing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bickster Posted July 4 Moderator Share Posted July 4 2 minutes ago, tonyh29 said: BBC saying 91% chance that Hartlepool is going Reform if that’s wrong that’s quite a spectacular wrong BBC is saying the exit poll says that, let’s be clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulC Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 Turnout not much more than 50% at the 3 declared seats so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bickster Posted July 4 Moderator Share Posted July 4 Dorries has disappeared from CH4 no way was that what was meant to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fun Factory Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 I presume the exit poll is predicting the tory vote to hold up more in the real true blue seats. If they have a uniform 15-20% drop then they could end up lower than the 131 predicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bickster Posted July 4 Moderator Share Posted July 4 1 minute ago, PaulC said: Turnout not much more than 50% at the 3 declared seats so far. There’s only been 2 Both safe Labour seats they won’t have campaigned in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyrusr Posted July 4 VT Supporter Share Posted July 4 Just now, bickster said: Dorries has disappeared from CH4 no way was that what was meant to happen. Very early sub. Reckon she got a groin strain after receiving the text message from Boris. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulC Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 You must be behind me because there's been three results declared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paul514 Posted July 4 Share Posted July 4 So I can see we have a lot of left wing people here..... Facts are we have huge win for labour on seats. Facts are also that Reform are trouncing the Conservatives on vote share and won't be far behind them on over all vote share. Here's my favourite though, it looks like Labour are going to get a lower vote share than they did under Corbyn...... there is no surge in support for Labour, there is a decimation in their opposition. This election is all about what happens in the Conservative party when they have their clear out tonight. Now that reform have a large foothold, if the Conservatives aren't credible to those reform voters, the Conservatives will be replaced by Reform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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