wishywashy Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 2 minutes ago, paul514 said: Arsenal through, porto out Barca through Napoli out is the napoli result good for us Italy have pretty much cemented one of the two extra CL spots (and Spain are out of the running), so it'll likely have been inconsequential either way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paul514 Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 Just now, wishywashy said: Italy have pretty much cemented one of the two extra CL spots (and Spain are out of the running), so it'll likely have been inconsequential either way is it german teams then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishywashy Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 1 minute ago, paul514 said: is it german teams then? Yep. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paul514 Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 closer than I had been led to believe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
villarule123 Posted March 12 VT Supporter Share Posted March 12 We need a favour from PSV tomorrow and West Ham on Thursday and 5th place will look very good for a CL spot. I think we're going to limp over the line but 5th and CL and winning the Conference will be an incredible season and we can hopefully get some players back for next season and put a nightmare season for injuries behind us. I do worry about winning the UCL though, I have a feeling we're going to come undone against an experienced European side at some point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
duke313 Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 If West Ham can knock Freiburg out, I think that would seal it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulC Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 (edited) 11 minutes ago, wishywashy said: Italy have pretty much cemented one of the two extra CL spots (and Spain are out of the running), so it'll likely have been inconsequential either way How there's still points up for grabs and by my reckoning arsenal get a point for a draw plus ab extra point for reaching the last 8 and napoli get nothing so if they were two points ahead when I last looked we shouid be about level now Sorry its the average points not total so yes you're right Edited March 12 by PaulC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick76 Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 Just now, PaulC said: How there's still points up for grabs and by my reckoning arsenal get a point for a draw plus ab extra point for reaching the last 8 and napoli get nothing so if they were two points ahead when I last looked we shouid be about level now 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sharkyvilla Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 5 minutes ago, duke313 said: If West Ham can knock Freiburg out, I think that would seal it. Wishing for theirs to go to pens and a straightforward win for us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adam2003 Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 Don’t think anyone is catching Italy but still, ideal results for us tonight with Arsenal winning, Napoli losing and Blues getting beaten by Boro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulC Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 11 minutes ago, villarule123 said: We need a favour from PSV tomorrow and West Ham on Thursday and 5th place will look very good for a CL spot. I think we're going to limp over the line but 5th and CL and winning the Conference will be an incredible season and we can hopefully get some players back for next season and put a nightmare season for injuries behind us. I do worry about winning the UCL though, I have a feeling we're going to come undone against an experienced European side at some point. Man city looking good to win it again I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KentVillan Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 7 minutes ago, PaulC said: Man city looking good to win it again I think. Favourites yes, but still only about 30% probability implied by the bookies odds, just too many good teams left and they only need one bad night. Imagine we’ll be sweating on this for a while! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
omariqy Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 On 11/03/2024 at 11:52, omariqy said: The more German teams that go out the better regardless of us, City and Liverpool being favourites. You never know in tournament football what will happen. Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen are likely to go quite far in their respective competitions. Therefore, we really need Freiburg and Dortmund to exit and make sure we have at least 1 or 2 more teams than that left who are picking up points. This week’s games to look out for UCL Arsenal v Porto (0-1) - If Arsenal win then that is 0.375 to our points total Dortumund v PSV (1-1) - you would expect Dortmund to win that and go through - 0.429 for their total UEL West Ham v Freiburg (0-1) - as per Arsenal - 0.375 Bayer Leverkusen v Qarabag (2-2) - as per Dortmund - 0.429 Brighton v Roma (0-4) - Brighton are out but if they can win the tie at least then it will be 0.25 for our total Liverpool v Sparta Prague (5-1) - as per the above 0.375 UECL Aston Villa v Ajax (0-0) - as per the above 0.375 That would leave the following Germany - 16.358 England - 16.375 First result in our favour. I am sure there will be a few surprises this week. I can see one of us, Dortumund or West Ham losing and exiting. Very rarely all the favourites go through in knockout football. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zatman Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 Dortmund should go out, massive bottlers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
omariqy Posted March 12 Share Posted March 12 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Zatman said: Dortmund should go out, massive bottlers If Dortmund and Freiburg both go out then the maximum points they can get will be 2.717 Leverkusen - 0.429 + 0.429 + 0.429 + 0.286 = 1.573 Bayern - 0.429 + 0.429 + 0.286 = 1.144 That would put them on 18.217. Very gettable Edited March 12 by omariqy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paul514 Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 I will admit I have no idea how these numbers work 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaChris Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 1 hour ago, paul514 said: closer than I had been led to believe Not much going on tomorrow so might give the Dortmund-PSV game a watch. 1-1 so potentially could still go either way that even if Dortmund have home advantage. Basically if they go out then it's left to Munich and Leverkusen as teams who can have realistic runs to SF/F. I'd still say it's far far more likely we'll see Man. City/Liverpool at that stage and they don't have anyone in the Conference league. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paul514 Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 1 minute ago, VillaChris said: Not much going on tomorrow so might give the Dortmund-PSV game a watch. 1-1 so potentially could still go either way that even if Dortmund have home advantage. Basically if they go out then it's left to Munich and Leverkusen as teams who can have realistic runs to SF/F. I'd still say it's far far more likely we'll see Man. City/Liverpool at that stage and they don't have anyone in the Conference league. think I should probably start paying attention at semi final stages too many variables right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
omariqy Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 5 minutes ago, paul514 said: I will admit I have no idea how these numbers work 2 for a win, 1 for a draw and 1 for round progression. Those points then divided by the number of teams from your country that were originally in the various tournaments. So for England it’s divided by 8 and for Germany it’s divided by 7. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paul514 Posted March 13 Share Posted March 13 13 minutes ago, omariqy said: 2 for a win, 1 for a draw and 1 for round progression. Those points then divided by the number of teams from your country that were originally in the various tournaments. So for England it’s divided by 8 and for Germany it’s divided by 7. ty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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