VillaChris Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 (edited) 21 hours ago, Sulberto21 said: Brighton and West Ham play the way we don't like. The other 4 we can probably set a record in one of them. Brighton are a neat and tidy team with some good technical players but they don't scare me half as much as Southampton and Leeds with the pressing so I'm confident we'll have too much for them as their league results have been really poor in last few weeks. West Ham historically has been a cancel each out type of opponent, two draws last season (albeit in different circumstnaces) and plenty in other seasons so that's probably what will happen. Would be good if Antonio was still out. We're more than capable of taking 4 points out of the next two games. Edit: Wolves away is the most difficult one for us in that run imo. They had our number last year and with their style I don't think it's a great match up for us as they're annoyingly very effective at getting a result when they go into the lead but we have far more in final third to worry them. We'll likely be above them going into that game for the first time in a while in league meetings so they'll be extra motivated from that to beat us aswell. Edited November 9, 2020 by VillaChris 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keyblade Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 31 minutes ago, MaVilla said: it will be interesting to see where we end up this season. current PPG avg. is 2.15, if that form continued we would be on 82 points at season end (which is impossible ofc ) our highest points finishes in the last 25 years have been: 63 points - 1995/96 season - 1.68 avg. PPG - finished 4th 61 points - 1996/97 season - 1.61 avg. PPG - finished 5th 60 points - 2007/08 season - 1.57 avg. PPG - finished 6th 62 points - 2008/09 season - 1.63 avg. PPG - finished 6th 64 points - 2009/10 season - 1.68 avg PPG - finished 6th Last season we were 0.92 avg. PPG, if we now averaged that for the rest of the remaining season we would be on 43 points. (43 points would have placed us 14th/15th last season depending on goal difference) So.....in order to get to 60+ points this season, for our remaining games (31 games), we need to turn last season 0.92 avg. PPG in to 1.45 avg. PPG for the remainder of this season. In normal speak, we will get to 60 points if we accumulate 45 points from our remaining 31 games, ie: remaining W/D/L looks something like: Played 31 - W 13, D 7, L 11 (this gives 46 points) So season finish would be 61 points and a final stat of W 18, D 7, L 13. 61 points would have got us 6th last season (although in most season you need in the region of 62-68 points to secure a 6th place finish) will be interesting to see whether we can push the 60 points mark? (ps. - lets get to 40 points first ) Interesting that 98/99 isn't on that list as that was if I remember correctly, the last time we were ever top of the table, and I remember a late date like Christmas mentioned. We must have fell off pretty hard then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaVilla Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 (edited) 27 minutes ago, Keyblade said: Interesting that 98/99 isn't on that list as that was if I remember correctly, the last time we were ever top of the table, and I remember a late date like Christmas mentioned. We must have fell off pretty hard then. we ended up with 55 points in 98/99. I just checked, ur right, of the first 10 games we won 6, drew 4 and lost 0. However we lost our last 3 games, and also had a 4 game losing streak in Feb/Mar, we also only won 3 of our last 16 games.......ouch! last 16 games were W 3, D 3, L 10....... (prior to that, played 22, W 12, D 7, L 3) blimey....still finished 6th too lol. Edited November 9, 2020 by MaVilla 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sulberto21 Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 4 minutes ago, MaVilla said: we ended up with 55 points in 98/99. I just checked, ur right, of the first 10 games we won 6, drew 4 and lost 0. However we lost our last 3 games, and also had a 4 game losing streak in Feb/Mar, we also only won 3 of our last 16 games.......ouch! last 16 games were W 3, D 3, L 10....... (prior to that, played 22, W 12, D 7, L 3) blimey.... We had a relatively small squad. Juninho wanted to join us too but our Deadliest refused to pay 7million for him. Allegedly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaVilla Posted November 9, 2020 Share Posted November 9, 2020 1 minute ago, Sulberto21 said: We had a relatively small squad. Juninho wanted to join us too but our Deadliest refused to pay 7million for him. Allegedly. ye remember that rumour.........would have loved Juninho at Villa! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El-Reacho Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 2 hours ago, Keyblade said: Interesting that 98/99 isn't on that list as that was if I remember correctly, the last time we were ever top of the table, and I remember a late date like Christmas mentioned. We must have fell off pretty hard then. We were top of the table around Christmas 2001 IIRC - then Gregory quit a few week's later because Ellis wouldn't strengthen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post mikeyjavfc Posted November 10, 2020 VT Supporter Popular Post Share Posted November 10, 2020 Nice article from a stats boffin confirming what we all know...the title is basically a formality: Aston Villa, are they just on a good run, or are they...good? It's been some start to the season for Villa, but are they just in the midst of a purple patch, or is this good form here to stay? https://marginalpains.substack.com/p/aston-villa-are-they-just-on-a-good 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 1 hour ago, mikeyjavfc said: Nice article from a stats boffin confirming what we all know...the title is basically a formality: Aston Villa, are they just on a good run, or are they...good? It's been some start to the season for Villa, but are they just in the midst of a purple patch, or is this good form here to stay? https://marginalpains.substack.com/p/aston-villa-are-they-just-on-a-good Good article. A lot will come down to injuries and suspensions. Lose one or more first team players and we are significantly weakened. Hopefully we sign one or two players in January to improve quality in the squad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laughable Chimp Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 I think the team is good enough to challenge for the title tbh. Calling it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigel Posted November 10, 2020 VT Supporter Share Posted November 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Laughable Chimp said: I think the team is good enough to challenge for the title tbh. Calling it now. Do champions lose to leeds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Laughable Chimp Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Nigel said: Do champions lose to leeds? Well last years champions lost 3-0 to a Watford who would later get relegated and I think this Leeds team is better than that Watford team. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigel Posted November 10, 2020 VT Supporter Share Posted November 10, 2020 Just now, Laughable Chimp said: Well last years champions lost 3-0 to a Watford who would later get relegated and I think this Leeds team is better than that Watford team. Well thats that then! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, Nigel said: Do champions lose to leeds? Do they lose 7-2 to Villa? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S-Platt Posted November 10, 2020 VT Supporter Share Posted November 10, 2020 14 minutes ago, Vive_La_Villa said: Good article. A lot will come down to injuries and suspensions. Lose one or more first team players and we are significantly weakened. Hopefully we sign one or two players in January to improve quality in the squad. Don't forget Barkley can't play against Chelsea so that's 2 games we are defo weaker. Upto Hourihane to step up and show what we are missing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
villalad21 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 33 minutes ago, Vive_La_Villa said: A lot will come down to injuries and suspensions. Thankfully we don't have to deal with Europe or the Mickey Mouse cup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
villalad21 Posted November 10, 2020 Author Share Posted November 10, 2020 (edited) 2 hours ago, mikeyjavfc said: Nice article from a stats boffin confirming what we all know...the title is basically a formality: Aston Villa, are they just on a good run, or are they...good? It's been some start to the season for Villa, but are they just in the midst of a purple patch, or is this good form here to stay? https://marginalpains.substack.com/p/aston-villa-are-they-just-on-a-good Interesting that we have conceded the 7th most amount of shots against. It is indeed looking like Smith has returned to his expansive football and ditched the post lockdown tactics. But by having a fantastic goalkeeper and better defenders coupled with deadly attacking players we are getting away with it and it's damn exciting to watch. Edited November 10, 2020 by villalad21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 1 hour ago, villalad21 said: Interesting that we have conceded the 7th most amount of shots against. It is indeed looking like Smith has returned to his expansive football and ditched the post lockdown tactics. But by having a fantastic goalkeeper and better defenders coupled with deadly attacking players we are getting away with it and it's damn exciting to watch. You’re obsessed with shots against. Many of them are from distance or half chances so it really doesn’t mean that much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maqroll Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 I really enjoyed this- https://www.theguardian.com/football/2020/nov/08/arsenal-aston-villa-premier-league-match-report Quote Ollie Watkins punishes woeful Arsenal as Aston Villa run riot at the Emirates 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaChris Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 (edited) On 09/11/2020 at 21:54, Keyblade said: Interesting that 98/99 isn't on that list as that was if I remember correctly, the last time we were ever top of the table, and I remember a late date like Christmas mentioned. We must have fell off pretty hard then. It was a spectacular collapse, even worse than 2008/09 imo when we only got as high as 3rd. Shearer kicking Ugo in the face was a massive turning point as we went to pot defensively straight after. Bosnich and Dublin also missed chunks of that season injured. We finished somehow below even West Ham in the end who got 5th which was their highest league placing since 1892.... Edited November 10, 2020 by VillaChris Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaChris Posted November 10, 2020 Share Posted November 10, 2020 2 hours ago, Nigel said: Do champions lose to leeds? Another great omen. http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/1496409.stm And the following season aswell early on.... http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/2254743.stm Back when football was far more interesting. Leeds had a cracking team in that era tbf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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