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Generic Virus Thread


villakram

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14 minutes ago, Xela said:

Our workplace has already issued emails to encourage people to work from home. 2 people who work for us have it (1 in the UK)

I've been WFH all week. 

 

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Age of Coronavirus Deaths

COVID-19 Fatality Rate by AGE:

*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%). This probability differs depending on the age group. The percentages shown below do not have to add up to 100%, as they do NOT represent share of deaths by age group. Rather, it represents, for a person in a given age group, the risk of dying if infected with COVID-19.

AGE
DEATH RATE
confirmed cases 
DEATH RATE
all cases
80+ years old
21.9%
14.8%
70-79 years old
 
8.0%
60-69 years old
 
3.6%
50-59 years old
 
1.3%
40-49 years old
 
0.4%
30-39 years old
 
0.2%
20-29 years old
 
0.2%
10-19 years old
 
0.2%
0-9 years old
 
no fatalities

*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%).The percentages do not have to add up to 100%, as they do NOT represent share of deaths by agegroup.

In general, relatively few cases are seen among children.

Sex ratio

COVID-19 Fatality Rate by SEX:

*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%). This probability differs depending on sex. When reading these numbers, it must be taken into account thatsmoking in China is much more prevalent among males. Smoking increases the risks of respiratory complications.

SEX
DEATH RATE
confirmed cases 
DEATH RATE
all cases
Male
4.7%
2.8%
Female
2.8%
1.7%

*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%). The percentages do not have to add up to 100%, as they do NOT represent share of deaths by sex.

Pre-existing medical conditions (comorbidities)

Patients who reported no pre-existing ("comorbid") medical conditions had a case fatality rate of 0.9%. Pre-existing illnesses that put patients at higher risk of dying from a COVID-19 infection are:

COVID-19 Fatality Rate by COMORBIDITY:

*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%). This probability differs depending on pre-existing condition. The percentage shown below does NOT represent in any way the share of deaths by pre-existing condition. Rather, it represents, for a patient with a given pre-existing condition, the risk of dying if infected by COVID-19.

PRE-EXISTING CONDITION
DEATH RATE
confirmed cases 
DEATH RATE
all cases
Cardiovascular disease
13.2%
10.5%
Diabetes
9.2%
7.3%
Chronic respiratory disease
8.0%
6.3%
Hypertension
8.4%
6.0%
Cancer
7.6%
5.6%
no pre-existing conditions
 
0.9%

*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%). The percentages do not have to add up to 100%, as they do NOT represent share of deaths by condition.

Novel Coronavirus Worldometer Sections:

Sources

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14 minutes ago, Kingman said:

This site is just about the most accurate for live updates mate. 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-cases/#case-growth-outchina 

It doesn't matter, because of the suspected Chinese vast under reporting, the two different strains, the masses of untested people who have it, the differences in available care in different countries and the fact that only China appears to have peaked, it's all guesswork at this stage. You might be able to have a real stab at it about three weeks after it's peaked but it's going to take a long while after it's gone before the true figure will be known

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They knew if they removed all the passengers and crew off the ship immediately, they could have saved lives but USA was not prepared. Every major population center should have a dedicated facility for this kind of problem. 

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6 minutes ago, bickster said:

It doesn't matter, because of the suspected Chinese vast under reporting, the two different strains, the masses of untested people who have it, the differences in available care in different countries and the fact that only China appears to have peaked, it's all guesswork at this stage. You might be able to have a real stab at it about three weeks after it's peaked but it's going to take a long while after it's gone before the true figure will be known

Yeah, The WHO Dr. Bruce Aylward, visited China and examined the data, he said there was no evidence to support the idea that are loads of people who have the virus but are asymptomatic, the Chinese figures for that were less 0.5% and they tested thousands looking for it. Which means the mortality rate maybe higher than the 1% being quoted a lot by the western media/establishment.  

Currently it's 3.4%  in China. Even 1% is 10 times higher than the flu death rate, He says people in the west are cherry picking 1% as a low number, he thinks it's anywhere between 1 and 4%, and said China got really good at saving people and had lots of resource such as ECMO, ventilators, critical care facilities, more than a lot of western countries. 

England has a grand total of 15 EMCO beds. Intensive care is running almost at capacity as it is. Unlike the Chinese who built two hospitals in 10 days, we couldn't get past filling in a few forms in that time let alone design, build and hand over an operational asset. China also drafted in 10,000 staff from other provinces. We are tens of thousands of staff short.

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24 minutes ago, Vive_La_Villa said:

Another ramp up of US markets near the close. Although nowhere near as strong as last Friday. 

VIX highest since 2008 and the outbreak hasn't really started yet.

 

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2 minutes ago, Kingman said:

VIX highest since 2008 and the outbreak hasn't really started yet.

 

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That’s crazy!  I’m still expecting an eventual V shape recovery following very loose monetary policies but how far it falls before that is anyone’s guess. Looking at 2600 area in spx if last weeks low goes. 
 

Best to keep powder dry for now.

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2 minutes ago, Vive_La_Villa said:

That’s crazy!  I’m still expecting an eventual V shape recovery following very loose monetary policies but how far it falls before that is anyone’s guess. Looking at 2600 area in spx if last weeks low goes. 
 

Best to keep powder dry for now.

Apple and Oil sliding, Gold and The Yen on the up me thinks! 

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I’ve just watched this on BBC iPlayer, it’s scarily prophetic and highly relevant. They create a large scale social experiment using data to track the potential spread of an endemic flu type virus. It was first shown in 2018. Very interesting and well worth a watch. 


Contagion: The BBC Four Pandemic

Click here if you’ve washed your hands

 

 

 

 

Edited by It's Your Round
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I believe that China changed their reporting criteria some time ago to only those who tested positive AND were symptomatic. Italy has since adopted this and as such it'll likely be adopted worldwide. All percentage based numbers should thus be treated with some caution.

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4 hours ago, maqroll said:

SXSW cancelled. Major sports leagues are next.

Talk of banning of over 70's at Premier league games, 

Wonder what Palace will do with Woy?..

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11 minutes ago, Kingman said:

Wonder what Palace will do with Woy?..

Just guessing but he will probably circle overhead with one eye on the game and the other on the lookout for small rodents in the undergrowth in the surrounding area.  Sometimes the overhead view is good for tactics,  find out when Mr and Mrs mouse get home from the shops.

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AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committee) confirms that two conference attendees have now tested positive for coronavirus. There were 18,000 people there, including 2/3rds of Congress. On Tuesday, thousands of conference goers visited Capitol Hill offices. 

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1 hour ago, Amsterdam_Neil_D said:

Just guessing but he will probably circle overhead with one eye on the game and the other on the lookout for small rodents in the undergrowth in the surrounding area.  Sometimes the overhead view is good for tactics,  find out when Mr and Mrs mouse get home from the shops.

Early contender for post of the year :D

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