A'Villan Posted March 24, 2019 Share Posted March 24, 2019 Just hope we start this one with everyone in their zone and on the same page. Do that and we'll get the win I think. A slow start might prove costly. I don't know much about Blackburn except for Dack, who can create something from little and will be a threat if we allow him the ball in their final third. This game falls on my birthday and I have arranged everything so all commitments and celebrating will be done on other days, so that I can enjoy the weekend to myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SirSteveUK Posted March 24, 2019 Popular Post Share Posted March 24, 2019 My calculations are more basic - just based on strength of schedule (home & away) - based on the ranking of the away records of the teams we play at home - and the ranking of the home records of the teams we play away. The figures on the right indicate strength of schedule - the lower the number - the tougher it is. My figures would indicate that we have the 3rd toughest home games (PNE/Wed worse) and the 5th toughest.away games (behind Norwich/SheffUtd/Preston/Forest) among the top 10 - both 'distorted' to some degree by the inclusion of the best away record (Norwich)to come to VP and the 3rd best home record to play on our travels (Leeds) Either way you cut it - we have 5 games we should win - plus Wed away / Leeds away & Norwich at home - that we need pts from. I agree with the general opinion - we should aim for 5 wins 2 draws & 1 defeat = 74 pts - a target that only the Top 4 are on schedule to meet so far. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigel Posted March 25, 2019 VT Supporter Share Posted March 25, 2019 12 hours ago, SirSteveUK said: My calculations are more basic - just based on strength of schedule (home & away) - based on the ranking of the away records of the teams we play at home - and the ranking of the home records of the teams we play away. The figures on the right indicate strength of schedule - the lower the number - the tougher it is. My figures would indicate that we have the 3rd toughest home games (PNE/Wed worse) and the 5th toughest.away games (behind Norwich/SheffUtd/Preston/Forest) among the top 10 - both 'distorted' to some degree by the inclusion of the best away record (Norwich)to come to VP and the 3rd best home record to play on our travels (Leeds) Either way you cut it - we have 5 games we should win - plus Wed away / Leeds away & Norwich at home - that we need pts from. I agree with the general opinion - we should aim for 5 wins 2 draws & 1 defeat = 74 pts - a target that only the Top 4 are on schedule to meet so far. Shows just how relatively easy Derbys run in is. They are favorites from this position! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post BOF Posted March 25, 2019 Moderator Popular Post Share Posted March 25, 2019 16 hours ago, SirSteveUK said: My calculations are more basic - just based on strength of schedule (home & away) - based on the ranking of the away records of the teams we play at home - and the ranking of the home records of the teams we play away. The figures on the right indicate strength of schedule - the lower the number - the tougher it is. My figures would indicate that we have the 3rd toughest home games (PNE/Wed worse) and the 5th toughest.away games (behind Norwich/SheffUtd/Preston/Forest) among the top 10 - both 'distorted' to some degree by the inclusion of the best away record (Norwich)to come to VP and the 3rd best home record to play on our travels (Leeds) Either way you cut it - we have 5 games we should win - plus Wed away / Leeds away & Norwich at home - that we need pts from. I agree with the general opinion - we should aim for 5 wins 2 draws & 1 defeat = 74 pts - a target that only the Top 4 are on schedule to meet so far. My table adjusted for home/away record as opposed to league position, and excluding the final 2 games because the situation will be different by then, actually gives us the easiest run left in the whole league. Adding the final 2 back in drops us considerably, but I'm more concerned with the first 6 games. We'll see where we are then on the gameweek commencing 19/04 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 16 hours ago, BOF said: My table adjusted for home/away record as opposed to league position, and excluding the final 2 games because the situation will be different by then, actually gives us the easiest run left in the whole league. Adding the final 2 back in drops us considerably, but I'm more concerned with the first 6 games. We'll see where we are then on the gameweek commencing 19/04 God I love these spreadsheets! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted March 26, 2019 Share Posted March 26, 2019 3-0 villa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OutByEaster? Posted March 26, 2019 Moderator Share Posted March 26, 2019 Down to about 2,000 (home) tickets left for this one - mostly in the Upper Trinity. It'd be nice to see the Sold Out signs up and a boost for our promotion run in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post BOF Posted March 26, 2019 Moderator Popular Post Share Posted March 26, 2019 3 hours ago, OutByEaster? said: Down to about 2,000 (home) tickets left for this one - mostly in the Upper Trinity. It'd be nice to see the Sold Out signs up and a boost for our promotion run in. Amazing effort. We'll absolutely thrash last season's average, which is some feat given last season we very nearly went up. Blackburn is the last home game this season where we don't have a direct comparison against last season. The season before that was a 3pm Saturday kickoff that got a paltry 29,712 in November in the middle of a decent run of results. To put it into perspective, if we want to match last season's average, we'd only need to get 18,064 from each of our remaining 4 home games. That's how far ahead we are As it is, we're looking at a ~10% increase. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Keyblade Posted March 26, 2019 Popular Post Share Posted March 26, 2019 45 minutes ago, BOF said: Amazing effort. We'll absolutely thrash last season's average, which is some feat given last season we very nearly went up. Blackburn is the last home game this season where we don't have a direct comparison against last season. The season before that was a 3pm Saturday kickoff that got a paltry 29,712 in November in the middle of a decent run of results. To put it into perspective, if we want to match last season's average, we'd only need to get 18,064 from each of our remaining 4 home games. That's how far ahead we are As it is, we're looking at a ~10% increase. Amazing what attractive football can do to galvanize a fanbase. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osmark86 Posted March 27, 2019 Share Posted March 27, 2019 18 hours ago, Keyblade said: Amazing what attractive football can do to galvanize a fanbase. exactly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rugeley Villa Posted March 27, 2019 Share Posted March 27, 2019 Around 1700 left now. Our support has been brilliant this season. Much stronger than last season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
srsmithusa Posted March 28, 2019 Share Posted March 28, 2019 i think winning would be good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demitri_C Posted March 28, 2019 Share Posted March 28, 2019 Not many left for Saturday if I wasn't abroad I would be going to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted March 28, 2019 Share Posted March 28, 2019 (edited) What’s our capacity with upper trinity closed. Is it 37k? edit: or is it open? Edited March 28, 2019 by Vive_La_Villa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Posted March 28, 2019 Share Posted March 28, 2019 A win on Saturday might take us into 5th place and create a little breathing space between those clubs that are currently outside of the play off positions and ourselves. Our visitors last won at Villa Park in 2010. Overall we have won 66 and have drawn 34 of the 159 league meetings that there have been between the two clubs. Blackburn like us were founder members of the Football League. They have been League Champions three times (the last time in season 1994-95), have won the League Cup once and have won the FA Cup six times. They were last in the top flight in season 2011-12 and are currently 10 points below us in 16th place. We really do need to make it 5 successive wins on Saturday. Do it for us Villa! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigel Posted March 28, 2019 VT Supporter Share Posted March 28, 2019 Tammy being available is good news. Still like to see Davis given a good outing to give him some pitch time. This scare shows how easy it would be to lose him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BOF Posted March 28, 2019 Moderator Share Posted March 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Nigel said: Still like to see Davis given a good outing to give him some pitch time. He can definitely come on when we're 3 up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herman22 Posted March 28, 2019 Share Posted March 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Nigel said: Tammy being available is good news. With Tuanzebe and Lansbury also fit we will have quite a few players to choose from. Getting on the bench isn't guaranteed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romavillan Posted March 28, 2019 VT Supporter Share Posted March 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Nigel said: Tammy being available is good news. Still like to see Davis given a good outing to give him some pitch time. This scare shows how easy it would be to lose him. Yes be good to have the chance to give the other options up top some time on the pitch but we do seem to have goals from midfield aplenty now so less pressure on the centre forward to score them all. Kodija playing centrally if Tammy did get ruled out would probably be ok too. Would offer less, I doubt he'd come deep and link up like Tammy does but he'd score a few. Winning 5 of the last 8 is a big ask seeing as we come into it winning 4 on the bounce, it would mean a massive winning run. That said though with a near full house at Villa Park we should be doing this lot. Play like the last few games and we should be out of sight by half time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VillaFaninLondon Posted March 28, 2019 Share Posted March 28, 2019 Good that Tammy is fit. He's not been scoring a lot recently but his all-round game is top notch and it's not just his goals that he brings to this team. Some selection headaches on Saturday. Does Dean bring Tuanzebe straight back in, probably for Taylor with Hause going to LB? I think it would be harsh and slightly rash to change things, so probably best to keep things as they are, but equally Hause looks more comfortable on the left-hand side and Tuanzebe-Mings could be very impressive. Tough call. In midfield too, does he bring Hourihane back in, probably at the expense of Whelan? For me on this one I think he should - Whelan was brilliant against Boro and did the simple things really well, but has just played 90 mins for Ireland at 35 years old. And out wide too, does he drop Green for Adomah or go with Green again. Given Adomah scored against Boro (albeit he couldn't miss), he probably deserves the nod, but I'm hoping Green takes his chance when he next gets it - he looked average against Boro. Blackburn are in really poor form and we've just won four on the bounce, so I'm really hoping we put in another strong performance. Three points is all that matters though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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