Villarocker Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 (edited) Win the next 5 games in a row and the play-offs are ours. Win all 7 and we go into the play-offs as favourites after a 12 game winning run. Does anybody know what our longest winning run is? Edited April 2, 2019 by villarocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 (edited) 6 hours ago, villarocker said: Win the next 5 games in a row and the play-offs are ours. Win all 7 and we go into the play-offs as favourites after a 12 game winning run. Does anybody know what our longest winning run is? Probably not our best ever run but we managed 8 in all competition under Gregory. I mentioned before no team seemed to win more than 7 in a row this season and last. That would take us to the Bristol City game. Edited April 2, 2019 by Vive_La_Villa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeyAnty Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 My only concern is that Smith has a history of going on runs of winning about 7 or 8 games and then going the opposite way. Hopefully this time the run keeps going to15 games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TreeVillan Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 (edited) 15 minutes ago, HeyAnty said: My only concern is that Smith has a history of going on runs of winning about 7 or 8 games and then going the opposite way. Hopefully this time the run keeps going to15 games. That's a ridiculous expectation. We're in the playoffs which is exactly what we wanted. Finishing 3rd to 6th is virtually the same thing, and we can easily finish 6th even with a few losses. Edited April 2, 2019 by TreeVillan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wilko154 Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 1 hour ago, TreeVillan said: That's a ridiculous expectation. We're in the playoffs which is exactly what we wanted. Finishing 3rd to 6th is virtually the same thing, and we can easily finish 6th even with a few losses. I would disagree, we can afford a loss and possibly two draws at the very most. If that were to happen we would just manage 6th if results went our way. It's going to be extremely tight unless we keep the wins rolling in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Rev Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 Fixtures of the playoff contenders. I'm gonna assume the top four are staying in the top four and just including the teams with dreams of those final two spots. 5th - Aston Villa (P39 Pts 60 GD +15) 6th - Derby County (P38 Pts 59 GD+7) 7th - Bristol City (P37 Pts 58 GD+8) 8th - Middlesbrough (P38 Pts 58 GD+8) 9th - Nottingham Forest (P39 Pts 57 GD+9) 10th - Preston North End (P39 Pts 57 GD+7) 11th - Sheffield Wednesday (P39 Pts 56 GD-3) 12th Hull City Tigers (P39 Pts 54 GD+-0) Some enormous games coming up, Middlesbrough vs Bristol City tonight is a real six pointer, they are currently separated only by goals scored. Sheffield Wednesday have some really rough looking fixtures, but just like Villa in March, if you have a run of games against teams immediately above you in the table and win them all then it really propels you up the table as you are guaranteed to gain ground. Bristol City have the games in hand but I'd be worried about fixture congestion at this point of the season. I think Hull are real outsiders but their next two games could give six points and they'll be a bit more in the picture if they win those while the teams above them all play each other and inevitably drop points. Who am I backing? Villa obviously and I've got a feeling Derby have the easiest run in so they'll pick up plenty of points. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomav84 Posted April 2, 2019 VT Supporter Share Posted April 2, 2019 44 minutes ago, The_Rev said: Fixtures of the playoff contenders. I'm gonna assume the top four are staying in the top four and just including the teams with dreams of those final two spots. 5th - Aston Villa (P39 Pts 60 GD +15) 6th - Derby County (P38 Pts 59 GD+7) 7th - Bristol City (P37 Pts 58 GD+8) 8th - Middlesbrough (P38 Pts 58 GD+8) 9th - Nottingham Forest (P39 Pts 57 GD+9) 10th - Preston North End (P39 Pts 57 GD+7) 11th - Sheffield Wednesday (P39 Pts 56 GD-3) 12th Hull City Tigers (P39 Pts 54 GD+-0) Some enormous games coming up, Middlesbrough vs Bristol City tonight is a real six pointer, they are currently separated only by goals scored. Sheffield Wednesday have some really rough looking fixtures, but just like Villa in March, if you have a run of games against teams immediately above you in the table and win them all then it really propels you up the table as you are guaranteed to gain ground. Bristol City have the games in hand but I'd be worried about fixture congestion at this point of the season. I think Hull are real outsiders but their next two games could give six points and they'll be a bit more in the picture if they win those while the teams above them all play each other and inevitably drop points. Who am I backing? Villa obviously and I've got a feeling Derby have the easiest run in so they'll pick up plenty of points. yeah derby haven't got a bad run in at all...there will be many twists and turns i'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 1 hour ago, tomav84 said: yeah derby haven't got a bad run in at all...there will be many twists and turns i'm sure I keep reading this but those 5 away games that Derby have don’t look easy to me. Derby are awful away from home. I think we have the best run in up until the last 2 games. As for tonight’s game I think Boro are due a win after 4 defeats in a row. They also looked a lot better against Norwich and were a little unlucky. Bristol managed an amazing result on the weekend but the game must have taken a lot out of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, wilko154 said: I would disagree, we can afford a loss and possibly two draws at the very most. If that were to happen we would just manage 6th if results went our way. It's going to be extremely tight unless we keep the wins rolling in. I think 71 will make it this year. I think we will finish on 75 Edited April 2, 2019 by Vive_La_Villa 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rubberman Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 Having games in hand is not really a bonus IMO. Bristol have to cram in 2 extra games, with Millwall away in the final week. Derby have Swansea away as an extra in that week. At the end of a long season that's not going to be easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sne Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, rubberman said: Having games in hand is not really a bonus IMO. Bristol have to cram in 2 extra games, with Millwall away in the final week. Derby have Swansea away as an extra in that week. At the end of a long season that's not going to be easy. Depends I guess. For team like Bristol, Swansea and Middlesbrough who are in terrible form it's not a good thing. For team like us Norwich or Sheff U it would probably be a good thing. But u never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Merson08 Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 After the Blackburn game Aston Villa have 60 points out of a possible 117. The final projected points total will currently be 71 points that is points after 46 games. Basing this off last seasons final table will put us 9th. There is still 21 points to play for giving us a maximum potential points haul of 81 points. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Since the appointment of Dean Smith the new projected points total would be 72 points that is points after 46 games. That has included of 1.25 PPG from Steve Bruce and the current 1.66PPG from Smith. Using 1.66PPG over the remaining 7 games. Basing this off last seasons final table will put us 8th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 27 minutes ago, rubberman said: Having games in hand is not really a bonus IMO. Bristol have to cram in 2 extra games, with Millwall away in the final week. Derby have Swansea away as an extra in that week. At the end of a long season that's not going to be easy. I agree. April is a horrible schedule as it is. Too have an extra one or two games is just too much for any squad to handle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BOF Posted April 2, 2019 Moderator Share Posted April 2, 2019 2 hours ago, The_Rev said: 5th - Aston Villa (P39 Pts 60 GD +15) The only worrying thing about our fixtures is that every opponent bar none is close to an 'action area', be it going up or down. So if you swap out league position for a strength number based on proximity to the top or the bottom of the league (where midtable is weakest) then we've a very tough set of fixtures. Luckily we're one of the 2 best sides in the league at the moment and I fancy us against anyone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bannedfromHandV Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 10 minutes ago, BOF said: The only worrying thing about our fixtures is that every opponent bar none is close to an 'action area', be it going up or down. So if you swap out league position for a strength number based on proximity to the top or the bottom of the league (where midtable is weakest) then we've a very tough set of fixtures. Luckily we're one of the 2 best sides in the league at the moment and I fancy us against anyone. I'm actually more worried about Rotherham, Bolton and Millwall than I am the others. We've shown in recent weeks we can really raise our game when playing a side higher in the table. Blackburn was the first time since Stoke we'd played someone who weren't above us at the point of kick off and our bad habits came right back to the fore, we sat back for most of the second half and our general play became really sloppy, we started taking silly risks with possession in our own half. Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying I think we'll beat Leeds, Norwich etc with ease but I'm confident we'll at least turn up properly for those whereas the others are a question mark for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zatman Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 I notice people havent mentioned our goal difference, that could be worth a lot come the final games as well unless we take a hammering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
villalad21 Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 14 minutes ago, BOF said: The only worrying thing about our fixtures is that every opponent bar none is close to an 'action area', be it going up or down. So if you swap out league position for a strength number based on proximity to the top or the bottom of the league (where midtable is weakest) then we've a very tough set of fixtures. Luckily we're one of the 2 best sides in the league at the moment and I fancy us against anyone. Would love it if we beat Leeds in the play off final. Where are the Leeds fans who posted on here on a regular basis months ago btw? Not as cocky anymore as their promotion hopes isn't as secure as earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Rev Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 @BOF I'd back us to beat Rotherham and Bolton away. I think we've got to win our home games. Ideally finish with 75 points but I have a sneaky suspicion that 72 or 73 might be enough to get into the playoffs this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 It know it’s a bit premature talking about this but was anyway able to get a ticket to the final last year with no booking history for that season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted April 2, 2019 Share Posted April 2, 2019 2 hours ago, BOF said: The only worrying thing about our fixtures is that every opponent bar none is close to an 'action area', be it going up or down. So if you swap out league position for a strength number based on proximity to the top or the bottom of the league (where midtable is weakest) then we've a very tough set of fixtures. Luckily we're one of the 2 best sides in the league at the moment and I fancy us against anyone. That’s one way of looking at it. Another way of looking at it is all the teams we are playing are all under pressure. I actually think the toughest opponent we’ve had during this run (not including Birmingham) was Blackburn. In that second half they played like a team that had no pressure on them. Moved it around really well. I was quite impressed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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