pas5898 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Still feel if we can be in touching distance (8-10 points) after this run of awful games, we have a chance of automatic promotion. After Boxing Day we have 7 bottom half teams and Sheffield Utd at home. All winnable. Playoffs are realistic but I wouldn’t rule out 2nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TheAuthority Posted November 26, 2018 VT Supporter Popular Post Share Posted November 26, 2018 11 hours ago, TrentVilla said: and in Lolley they’ve a real in form threat. You mean, "Agent Lolley?" 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zatman Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 15 hours ago, VillaChris said: Will start getting excited if we beat Forest. Remember what happened after Wolves last season. They are a tough team to beat this season. Think we'll lose at Boro (they'll inevitably score from a corner) and shut down our attack. Got a good feeling for West Brom away. 5-6 points from our next three would be a good return. West Brom game could end 7-7 going by both teams defences 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fightoffyour Posted November 26, 2018 VT Supporter Share Posted November 26, 2018 7 hours ago, villalad21 said: Forest and Leeds are no pushovers We’re Aston Villa, Steve, we fear nobody. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Merson08 Posted November 26, 2018 Popular Post Share Posted November 26, 2018 (edited) After the Birmingham game Aston Villa have 27 points out of a possible 54. The final projected points total will currently be 69 points that is points after 46 games. Basing this off last seasons final table will put us 9th. There is still 84 points to play for giving us a maximum potential points haul of 111 points. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Since the appointment of Dean Smith the new projected points total would be 83 points that is points after 46 games. That has included (Before Smith) of 1.25 PPG from Steve Bruce and the current 2 PPG from the Saviour (After Smith). Using 2PPG over the remaining 28 games. Basing this off last seasons final table will put us 4th. (83 points is the total points from the 17/18 season under Bruce) Edited November 26, 2018 by Merson08 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JAMAICAN-VILLAN Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 58 minutes ago, Merson08 said: After the Birmingham game Aston Villa have 27 points out of a possible 54. The final projected points total will currently be 69 points that is points after 46 games. Basing this off last seasons final table will put us 9th. There is still 84 points to play for giving us a maximum potential points haul of 111 points. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Since the appointment of Dean Smith the new projected points total would be 83 points that is points after 46 games. That has included (Before Smith) of 1.25 PPG from Steve Bruce and the current 2 PPG from the Saviour (After Smith). Using 2PPG over the remaining 28 games. Basing this off last seasons final table will put us 4th. (83 points is the total points from the 17/18 season under Bruce) How many more wins would we need to be in the magical 2 points per game territory? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Merson08 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 (edited) 4 minutes ago, JAMAICAN-VILLAN said: How many more wins would we need to be in the magical 2 points per game territory? It sounds alot.....10 more wins to get us to 2PPG. We would reach this milestone if we continue to win every game from now at Played 27 with 54 Points. Currently only Norwich are on 2PPG and its highly likely this season that you will get top 2 with a much lower PPG maybe even 1.75. Edited November 26, 2018 by Merson08 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigel Posted November 26, 2018 VT Supporter Share Posted November 26, 2018 2 hours ago, Merson08 said: After the Birmingham game Aston Villa have 27 points out of a possible 54. The final projected points total will currently be 69 points that is points after 46 games. Basing this off last seasons final table will put us 9th. There is still 84 points to play for giving us a maximum potential points haul of 111 points. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Since the appointment of Dean Smith the new projected points total would be 83 points that is points after 46 games. That has included (Before Smith) of 1.25 PPG from Steve Bruce and the current 2 PPG from the Saviour (After Smith). Using 2PPG over the remaining 28 games. Basing this off last seasons final table will put us 4th. (83 points is the total points from the 17/18 season under Bruce) The magic 2 points per game only really matters till around the 30 game mark....then the fun starts! Anything could happen and we have the advantage that we have been here before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rubberman Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 4 hours ago, Merson08 said: giving us a maximum potential points haul of 111 points. As long as this figure carries on not changing, I'm happy. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo985 Posted November 26, 2018 VT Supporter Share Posted November 26, 2018 4 hours ago, Merson08 said: After the Birmingham game Aston Villa have 27 points out of a possible 54. The final projected points total will currently be 69 points that is points after 46 games. Basing this off last seasons final table will put us 9th. There is still 84 points to play for giving us a maximum potential points haul of 111 points. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Since the appointment of Dean Smith the new projected points total would be 83 points that is points after 46 games. That has included (Before Smith) of 1.25 PPG from Steve Bruce and the current 2 PPG from the Saviour (After Smith). Using 2PPG over the remaining 28 games. Basing this off last seasons final table will put us 4th. (83 points is the total points from the 17/18 season under Bruce) In the first part of you post, doesn't your projected points just take our current points ratio and multiply it by the total number of games in a season to give a final total? In which case if you're doing that for every team then your projection is just the current league table. The second half of your post is more useful as it isolates Smith's performances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvfcRigo82 Posted November 26, 2018 Share Posted November 26, 2018 Fwiw, I think we will go up automatically this season without the drama of playoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrentVilla Posted November 26, 2018 Moderator Share Posted November 26, 2018 11 hours ago, TheAuthority said: You mean, "Agent Lolley?" Is that one of the Gardner brothers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Merson08 Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 18 hours ago, Stevo985 said: In the first part of you post, doesn't your projected points just take our current points ratio and multiply it by the total number of games in a season to give a final total? In which case if you're doing that for every team then your projection is just the current league table. The second half of your post is more useful as it isolates Smith's performances. You would absolutely be right, "if" I did this for every team it would just show the current league table. However, I aren't doing it for all teams and using last seasons final table to a estimated finishing position. With every win, lose or draw it will change the projected total points accrued and essentially makes a moving target. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Squad wise we have adequate strength apart from at the back. Need to get through this stretch of games without losing key players. At one point in December there are 4 games in 9 days. Ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigel Posted November 27, 2018 VT Supporter Share Posted November 27, 2018 1 hour ago, Vive_La_Villa said: Squad wise we have adequate strength apart from at the back. Need to get through this stretch of games without losing key players. At one point in December there are 4 games in 9 days. Ridiculous. It's the same for most teams tbf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 (edited) 1 hour ago, Nigel said: It's the same for most teams tbf True and we should be better prepared than most in terms of squad strength. (Apart from centre half position of course, thanks Bruce). Edited November 27, 2018 by Vive_La_Villa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrytini Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 Since he arrived I’ve looked at us needing 2 Wins and a Draw from every 4 games. I think that is a very realistic and acheivable goal....one which he is currently bettering. He took over with us on 15 Points from 12 games. 7 points from every 4 games would mean we’d have 71 points after 44 games, potentially finishing the season on 77, in the Play Offs. I do agree, however, with those that argue a slightly lower points total than usual may get Automatic Promotion......there is definitely evidence so far that there is less dominance by any given side. My money is on us being dead certs for the Play Offs, and in with a chance of the top 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vive_La_Villa Posted November 27, 2018 Share Posted November 27, 2018 (edited) 31 minutes ago, terrytini said: Since he arrived I’ve looked at us needing 2 Wins and a Draw from every 4 games. I think that is a very realistic and acheivable goal....one which he is currently bettering. He took over with us on 15 Points from 12 games. 7 points from every 4 games would mean we’d have 71 points after 44 games, potentially finishing the season on 77, in the Play Offs. I do agree, however, with those that argue a slightly lower points total than usual may get Automatic Promotion......there is definitely evidence so far that there is less dominance by any given side. My money is on us being dead certs for the Play Offs, and in with a chance of the top 2. As things stand I’m confident we can beat anyone. I never used to have that feeling when Bruce was in charge even though we probably had a better team. Edited November 27, 2018 by Vive_La_Villa 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
romavillan Posted November 27, 2018 VT Supporter Share Posted November 27, 2018 On 26/11/2018 at 15:31, AvfcRigo82 said: Fwiw, I think we will go up automatically this season without the drama of playoffs. Until it's impossible that has to be the aim, Smith will deserve a **** statue if he pulls it off though. Fulham's rise was incredible last year but they couldn't catch the top 2. We'd have to do better than they did to get automatic promotion. Monumental, but who knows, we've still got to finish hiring coaches, scouts, have a transfer window in Jan. The room for improvement is there, and tbf if we play at the QPR/Derby levels against anyone in this league I think we've already got too much for 99% of this division. If we manage to improve on what we've got, then autos is possible, going to be a hell of a ride either way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nigel Posted November 27, 2018 VT Supporter Share Posted November 27, 2018 Going to fun again tonight watching the results come in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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