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Russia and its “Special Operation” in Ukraine


maqroll

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14 minutes ago, villa89 said:

 

 

Before the war this was around 150.000 men. After attritional warfare in the Donbas, maybe 40k or so combat ready. It's a big chunk of Russia's combat power out of the Donbas.

They're all being moved by road too. America, UK and France, LET UKRAINE FIRE AT THEM WITH LONG RANGE MISSILES - FFS.

Edited by magnkarl
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3 minutes ago, magnkarl said:

They're all being moved by road too. America, UK and France, LET UKRAINE FIRE AT THEM WITH LONG RANGE MISSILES - FFS.

If this was the plan all along then 👏

Hopefully they are in position waiting for Russia to walk into the waiting trap.

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13 hours ago, magnkarl said:

Ukraine apparently also invading Bryansk now.

Meanwhile in the Kremlin:

 Dan Slee on X: "Found this in my Google photos. Timeless. Don't be Comical  Ali. https://t.co/TIUzLrWHEF" / X

Comical Ali, refuted the invasion even after M1 Abrams were driving past him in the road behind 

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10 minutes ago, ender4 said:

That’s a bit weird

It’s not the only thing that’s weird this week, Modi visiting Kyiv this week was also a little odd. “Wanting to help find peace”

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Wouldn't surprise me if Putin is telling Iran, India and Belarus to start making peace talk noises. Russia keeps what they have in the east & crimea and Ukraine retreats. Sanctions get lifted on Russia and what's left of Ukraine gets NATO membership. Would be a good result for Putin but debateable how good for Ukraine... 

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2 hours ago, Awol said:

F-16 over Crimea. That’s quite a thing. 

 

Ukraine must be quite confident that there is no Russian anti-aircraft in Crimea to be flying over that region?

They don’t seem to be using the F16s on the main front line so that part must have all the anti-aircraft stuff, plus I guess Russian planes that they don’t want to engage with.

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Any news on what is happening in Kursk?  Are Ukraine holding the line or still pushing forward? 
 

Is Russia attacking back or just leaving them to the land they’ve taken?

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Just now, ender4 said:

Any news on what is happening in Kursk?  Are Ukraine holding the line or still pushing forward? 
 

Is Russia attacking back or just leaving them to the land they’ve taken?

Well Russia are sending troops but they have to go an awfully long way around to get there.

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Russia and Iran aren't natural allies.

Russia had a part in the attempted takeover in Khartoum, because Putin needs revenue and Sudan has gold.

That's not fitting in with Iran wanting to expand its sphere of influence amongst the Islamic states in the region. They're backing the other side.

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8 hours ago, ender4 said:

Ukraine must be quite confident that there is no Russian anti-aircraft in Crimea to be flying over that region?

They don’t seem to be using the F16s on the main front line so that part must have all the anti-aircraft stuff, plus I guess Russian planes that they don’t want to engage with.

They have been systematically destroying Russian SAM batteries and radar sites in/around Crimea for the thick end of 12 months, all in preparation for this development. Concurrently they’ve sunk/heavily damaged all the rail carrying ferries plying the Kerch straits, and are methodically destroying Russian fuel storage facilities that can be used to support Crimea. 

In short, there’s a long term and sophisticated campaign to isolate Crimea and siege it, although that looks a bit different in execution to the old days. 

If they can make Crimea unsustainable for Russia that creates a huge issue for Putin, and undermines the central purpose and strategic logic (from Russia’s perspective) of the war.

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