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The banker loving, baby-eating Tory party thread (regenerated)


blandy

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6 hours ago, tomav84 said:

Embarrassing 

 

 

The replies are great.

People asking for a refund of the billions the Tories wasted on PPE, or for having to pay higher mortgage bills. 

It’s embarrassing and hilarious in equal measure.

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19 minutes ago, sidcow said:

So Tobias Ellwood thinks Afghanistan is loads better under Taliban rule. 

They really are coming out with the completely batshit statements lately. The desperation for column inches is hilarious. They are so low in the polls, they figure they can't go much lower so they might as well.

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5 minutes ago, villan95 said:

Be interesting to see how today's by-elections go...

Theres not a result that won't be spun as a victory for Starmer's Labour. It's just a question of how significant a victory.

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43 minutes ago, Chindie said:

Theres not a result that won't be spun as a victory for Starmer's Labour. It's just a question of how significant a victory.

I think the LibDems might have something to say about that in Frome at least

Labour would most likely have won Uxbridge at the next election anyway

Selby and Ansty is the real test and I think the Tories will just scrape it.

1 all draw I think 1-1-1

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27 minutes ago, bickster said:

I think the LibDems might have something to say about that in Frome at least

Labour would most likely have won Uxbridge at the next election anyway

Selby and Ansty is the real test and I think the Tories will just scrape it.

1 all draw I think 1-1-1

The bookies have labour odds on to win it fwiw

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2 hours ago, bickster said:

Not looked at the odds tbh but if Labour do win, they can rightly crow about it.

The benchmark is basically:

If the Tories narrowly hold it (and that's really their best case scenario) = hung parliament is the most likely General Election result.

If Labour narrowly take it = Labour majority is pretty nailed on

If Labour comfortably take it = Tory electoral wipeout

With all the usual "at time of writing, week-is-a-long-time-in-politics" caveats. If Labour do take it comfortably, I think the bigger issue is how Tory MPs react. Given there are 250 or so Tory majorities smaller than Selby, I wonder if you might even start to hear anti-Sunak murmurs get louder. 

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Two GEs ago, my constituency was a Tory safe seat, nearest rivals were the LibDems, with Labour nowhere. 

Last GE, Tories held, but only by the narrowest of margins, a couple of hundred ahead of... Labour. The LibDem vote collapsed. 

If current trends continue, Labour should walk it. (Last time I saw my MP, in the supermarket, I suggested he start looking for a job outside politics. He pretended not to hear). 

 

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