Peter Griffin
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Everything posted by Peter Griffin
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I think the pressure would be ego based as financial worries don't really exist at a certain level
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That is exactly the point. By employing data analytic methodologies the club is doing all it can to avoid getting lumped into the middle of a normal distribution and they are trying to become the skew and stay away from regression to the mean. The more information they have, the more they understand where the problems lie and they can then actively do something to avoid these problems
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I agree, I was going to post the same point but writing it from the opposite perspective but I thought I may get lynched. My thought was that if we do not see a response from the players it will suggest that Dean last lost the dressing room.
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Tro, Yes, you are bang on. The random elements will only impact the luck / unlucky aspects of the game but the control of the game by Dean Smith and the players is not random (it may have been random under Bruce ) and as such a statistical regression to the mean is mathematically impossible.
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Not so
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The benchmark has been set
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Its Friday, its the weekend, what good possibly go wrong
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Also, if it is so close that we are losing by a dodgy decision we wouldn't be playing too well to be in that position
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I don't believe that would work with the elite managers. Pep is on 25m a year, we offer him 35m and he won't come to us. He wants to compete at the highest level just like players do and the elite managers already have enough cash that a pay rise won't have any material impact on their life. Same goes for Klopp and Conte etc. But a manager like Potter would leave for the money imo
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and look at Palace, they must have 8 or 9 new players and a new manager thrown in for good measure
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In fairness to Dean, I think he said 45 mins of 'really bad' football which could imply the rest was just 'bad'. Either way, we were shyte for the last 4 games
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I agree that we will have ups and downs and that sometimes we will punch above our weight and sometimes we will be below par. That is only natural. But because our performances are not random e.g. DS selects the team and formation, a player may have a slight knock etc it means (excuse the pun) that we will not regress to the mean like in statistics. There are outside factors that inhibit this from happening
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The data in the graph suggests that sacking the manager is the best option as it returns the biggest increase in performance. Also, regression to the mean is a statistical term to describe how random numbers return to the mean following an extreme result or shew. Football performances are not random, they are influenced by the manager, players and other factors from the club. If football results showed regression to the mean tendencies then the clubs like Sunderland would have returned to the PL
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Those teams are not rebuilding. That is just natural development. They each retain the bulk of the teams they had last season. Getting a few players in is not rebuilding, every club does it every transfer window. The only club in the PL that is rebuilding is Crystal Palace.
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With his underachievement he still managed to finish 4th and integrate lots of youth into the 1st team as Chelsea had a transfer embargo for the window when Lampard took over Chelsea. He did a brilliant job to get Chelsea to where they were and it was not expected by media or pundits. The following season though he showed he didn't have the ability to take Chelsea to the next level and Chelsea saw this and replaced him
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Dean has been manager for 3 years, Newcastle have had grand plans and new owners for about 3 weeks. I would suggest giving Newcastle a little more time before comparing their situation to ours
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Who did we sign in the Championship that doesn't look out of place in the PL? We had ElGhazi & Mings on loan and signed them permanently in the PL, also Mings was signed from another PL team and was our club record signing so hardly buying cheap players for the Championship and turning him into a PL player. ElGhazi can't get in our team. Trez looks okay but for a team int he lower half of the division and Hause is looking a bit better but again for a lower half team
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Our next 2 games are against Saints and Brighton, they are both higher placed teams. Only Watford, Leeds, Burnley, Newcastle and Norwich are lower placed than us
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My wife emails me a list of my tasks
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I get where you are coming from but just because you don't see anyone does not mean AVFC can't but staying with a manager that you don't believe is the right man for the job is just wrong. The club cannot be afraid to sack Dean or any manager because of the risk of not getting better. That is a sure fire way to stop us reaching our potential
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I respect your opinion but that just sounds like a litany of excuses. It is Smith's job to manage the team and get them performing at their best each and every game. He is not doing that
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JWP scares me for Friday
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Fonseca has done it in 5 clubs across multiple countries and got SD to the knockout stage of the Champions League. That is more than Gerrard has achieved
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I agree we have. I just want to see our club push forward and try and be the best it possibly can. A manager that has won just about everything at club level as a player and has had a very successful managerial career with Champions League experience and getting an unfancied side to the knock out stage would be great for Villa. The fact that his footballing philosophy is to play nice football and keep the ball on the ground is something I like too. But hey, if people think that is not good enough for Villa that is their prerogative, we all have differing views on what we want.
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I think the argument against is that they are not in the top leagues.
