Same. 6 points is extremely optimistic, a win and a draw would do nicely. Would still leave us 7 points ahead of Spurs before they play their next game.
Villa
Spurs
18-Apr-24
Lille (A)
21-Apr-24
Bournemouth (H)
27-Apr-24
Chelsea (H)
28-Apr-24
Arsenal (H)
02-May-24
ECL (H)
Chelsea (A)
04-May-24
Brighton (A)
05-May-24
Liverpool (A)
09-May-24
ECL (A)
11-May-24
Burnley (H)
13-May-24
Liverpool (H)
14-May-24
Man City (H)
19-May-24
Palace (A)
Sheff Utd (H)
29-May-24
ECL Final
If we get to ECL semi finals, then the Brighton game will be moved to 5th.
Looking at the run in, if we can beat Bournemouth and Chelsea, we could be 9 points ahead of Spurs before they even play again, that is massive psychologically.
I'm not sure it will, Spurs will beat Sheff Utd and Burnley, so that's 66 points minimum for them. That would mean them getting zero points from Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool or City, which is entirely possible, but likely they will draw or beat one of those four they're not expected too.
If we drop to 5th and end up in Europa, it will sting a little but we'll get over it, and as you say would probably be one of the favs to win it, which in itselft will mean CL qualification even if we drop off next season.
Then they can leave. With the exception of probably Martinez and Watkins, everyone else can be replaced if they want to leave.
Emery and his system are the most important part of the club.
Something they mentioned on the Claret & Blue podcast, was that all of Spurs remaining games are after our game. Meaning we play first Spurs are playing catch up if we win. Could have a demoralising effect knowing if they don’t they’re dropping further behind.