bickster

The quote is in the story in the subsequent tweet, which I believe for once in unpaywalled.

The movements are interesting. I’m not sure the Savanta modelling sends the Dont knows to the right party though, no way should the Tories be that high

Well you could look at articles about Canada 93 for an almost complete wipeout of a ruling party In the UK there’s the 1906 election where the Tories lost 256 seats in 670 seat parliament to be left with 156 MPs and that is to date their worst ever general election performance, so you'll see just how monumental this defeat they are about to get is. There are as yet undiscovered superlatives that should be used to describe what is about to happen.

Here’s another of their candidates… They make the stupidest of Tories seem like geniuses

This is the standard of the Reform candidates. Just be clear, he's talking about a policy whereby people who are already in the 40% tax bracket start to have to pay to use the NHS by means of an additional 5%. Is this in their manifesto? (Genuinely don’t know) Mentalists the lot of them

They are now resorting to the old tactics, SM Coms still hilarious though

Probably his most effective strategy, they'll lose votes less quickly that way

Much like the posts about the posts

Which demographic group do you see voting for them in large numbers in ten years time? Even before this election was called and all the ludicrous things that have gone before us, the only demographic that was majority voting for them was 70+ Most of the demographic groups below that despised them. It is currently getting quite tight between who will be the opposition and that is important, very important. How many of the leader debates are between the leaders of the top two parties, under FPTP, you need to be at least the opposition. I didn’t see them being in that position in another election cycle and that was before the current post election announcement nonsense. The latest polling will be rather revealing I think. If the LibDems are the opposition, they have a great platform to build on and will appeal much more to the traditional One Nation typical Tory voting public than either Reform or the rump of the Tory Party. Reform and Farage have a ceiling (Farage isn’t universally like even among the more rightward looking Tories)and their votes much like the LibDems currently are very localised, they also arent a party and don’t have anything of a localised structure. There’s no internal democracy. They are also a one trick pony, there’s Farage and… oh yes 30p Lee possibly. It’s not even as simple as all the Tories will jump to reform, they won’t, they'll split 4 ways. LibDem, Reform, Labour and Green. The NIMBY Tories are already jumping to Greens, lots of former Tories are indeed going to Labour, the LibDems are a natural home for many too as this election will show Nah, sorry Tories are effectively dead, the RWM will also split in their support I think, you might even find with the Tories relegated to a side show, some elements may even break for LibDems and others will go to Refom. I genuinely think we're living in one of those watershed moments in British politics Politics in the UK is very much about brands and the Conservative Party as a brand is toxic and that’s just really hard to overturn

They may be around, I don’t think they'll be in a position to make a serious bid to win an election. There’s just too much stacked against them.

That doesn’t appear to be Farage's game right now that would be tactically bad for Reform Farage right now holds the cards, He’s in a much better position to “control the right wing” as he sees it after the election not before it. I can’t see Reform standing down, he really wants to kill the Tory Party

1) it wasn’t a gag 2) You’re wrong 3)You are witnessing the end of the Conservative Party, I've said it for a while but the process has accelerated beyond what anyone could have imagined

This was actually the one I was most interested in. Because it wasn’t Sunak and Starmer and because the other parties were involved Nothing changed my mind though and yes they are utterly pointless Not only are they utterly pointless they are also very poorly stage managed, today the moderator was awful and the questions were hilariously slanted

Nah he just shed his trousers

Correct, right now it's likely to be worse, much worse

Yep that’s true, they were the big butteriners

My take on the debate Mordaunt - Awful Apologist of shite Rayner - Mostly robotic Daisy Cooper - Quite impressive, needs to lay off the amphetamines Carla Denya - started well but got a bit muddled towards the end Flynn - came across well but talked a fair bit of bollocks Rhun ap Iorwerth - see Flynn Farage - as you might expect with him, he performed well whilst talking utter shite

And before she'd finished

Angela Rayner is awful in this debate

They have nothing left

Someone’s having a meltdown