Well yes but I suspect that the sign is bollocks. Like I said, its nowhere near where he was and Farage likes getting milkshakes getting thrown at him because it allows him to play the victim card.
I mean if you really wanted to throw some liquid at farage I'm sure you'd be able to find something suitable in the Gurnos Stores, Greggs of the Gurnos Fish Bar (good chippy btw) literally next door to the Gurnos Club
Nothing big is about to kick off. That he is going to N Korea is rather a sign of the opposite. He even sent his flunkey to China the other year. His paranoia levels have been up so that he’s going outside Russia represents a bit of a change in recent policy
Plus picture of their microwave for coffee making purposes and a certificate from a doctor proving an allergy to toblerone.
A liking for shit flavoured crisps is an advantage
Doesn’t seem very LibDem biased to me
It might upset the Greens though because they’re reckoning on Labour for Bristol Central as they have Labour with a 56% vote share with the Greens only on 24% I’m not convinced the gap in Bristol Central is anywhere near that wide.
Woo and indeed who, I've had a Labour leaflet
Its been read, took about a minute
There is zero mention of policy
There are two endorsements, one from someone running a domestic abuse service and the other some absolute randomer. I thought it may be a councillor but it’s not it’s an absolute randomer.
There are Union jacks
Conservatives bad, Labour good, north vs their mates in the south nonsense
Its in the recycling
The recommendations aren't based entirely on the polling, especially in three way fights like that. I'm guessing here but I imagine that they think it's much easier to get disaffected Tories to shift to the LibDems than Labour
Electoral calculus also has that as a LibDem win currently
Yep, in the US you have to accept that MAGA isn't going to shift in huge numbers based on advertising. It really is the middle ground undecideds that should and need to be targeted
Unless something changes it won't. Their strategy going into this was to heavily campaign in the 80 most marginal seats they held and the 20 most marginal that they didn't. (The 80/20 strategy) That's where their money has been focused and they are short of money too. Given the polling for a long time before this election was called, its an absolutely mental strategy, it relied on the margin of difference narrowing before the election.
At least John Major knew in 1997 that he was going to lose, he had the speech written well in advance and the strategy was based on damage limitation. This strategy was based on not accepting the inevitable defeat and trying to capture more seats. Insanity that will see them lose more seats because the money is focused on seats they will still lose
This would be a seat they'd fight over normally. 8K majority, they'd need to secure the vote. This seat actually highlights the problem with their 80/20 strategy. Highly likely this isn't in the 80
Both Electoral Calculus and Best for Britain have that down as a Labour Win
The BfB MRP says
Conservative
30.56%
Labour
47.63%
Everyone else is below 10% and the fieldwork was done last week. They also reckon 42% of the constituency plan to vote tactically
Best for Britain Tactical Voting guide is out
Follow the link for their recommendation as to which is the tactical vote in your seat.
I've not really gone through it yet to see how accurate I think it is