Just for a bit of fun, usual caveats apply (polls, models blah)
So first of all I took the latest Redfield Wilton Poll figures...
And then I put them into the election predicting thingy at electoralcalculus.co.uk but the amusing thing is to look at the list of casualties it produces amongst The Tories. Say bye to...Graham Brady, Steven Baker, Ben Wallace, Peter Bone, Grant Shapps, Alun Cairns, Ester McVey (again), Jacob Rees-Mogg, Liam Fox, Daniel Kawcynski, Natalie Elphicke, Iain Duncan Smith, George Eustace, Tobias Ellwood, Anne-Marie Trevelyan, Lee Anderson and best of all the big dog himself, Boris Johnson
It also highlights how many Tory MPs there are that I've never bloody heard of.