Patel - not even sure why she's standing. No chance
Stride - was against Brexit, not a prayer of winning not sure what his game is by doing so
Jenrick - current favourite with the membership
Badenoch - The intelligent nutter, former favourite with the membership
Cleverley - I think he's standing because his ego won't let him not stand. No chance
Tugendhat - Why this man is popular is beyond me, he's started to talk tough, which really doesn't suit him as he has the personality of something caught by a trawler but he does appear to have support
So on the left you'll have Tugendhat and Stride - Tugendhat will win out of those two
In the middle you have Cleverly who is trying to appeal to both sides (this will not work)
And on the right you have three nutters, Patel will lose first then its between Badenoch and Jenrick, I have a sneaking feeling Jenrick might win the right over. Badenoch doesn't make friends easily whereas Jenrick, has let plenty of friends build and extend their properties and makes friends easily
My prediction, Jenrick will win over Tugendhat when it goes to the members