Really? Why do you think that Richard? I know it's kinda in your field of expertise but HMRC rarely prosecute without a watertight case or is that not the case anymore?
exactly, you can get away with many many things with this countrys soft justice system, but cheating HMRC is something they arent to fond of. there must be substantial evidence for the tax man to take this to court after an investigation thats lasted over 2 years.
I quite often get to see HMRC court cases through work. He won't go to prison. He can pay a huge fine (assuming he is convicted). There is no benefit to locking him up, so they won't. It will be very funny if he does get time.... but not in the public interest.
My guess..... big fine, some sort of community punishment, and costs to HMRC. He will be in the dugout that weekend. His health will only prevent him doing unpaid work, its not a factor in deciding on a custodial sentence.